Tuesday, November 6, 2012

Election Day 2012 - Will the Redskin Rule hold true?



My first posting regarding the Redskins Rule came on November 3, 2008.  You can read that posting by clicking on http://www.rickhudgens.blogspot.com/2008/11/redskin-rule.html   With elections taking place today I thought I should once again draw our attention to this trend.  Here is the information gleaned from Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia


The Redskins Rule is a trend involving National Football League games and United States presidential elections. Briefly stated, there is a high correlation between the outcome of the last Washington Redskins home football game prior to the U.S. Presidential Election and the outcome of the election: when the Redskins win, the incumbent party wins the electoral vote for the White House; when the Redskins lose, the non-incumbent party wins. This coincidence has been noted by many sports and political commentators and has held true in every election since 1940, except for that of 2004.

In 2008, the Redskins lost to the Pittsburgh Steelers, thereby predicting a win for Illinois Senator Barack Obama over Arizona Senator John McCain because George W. Bush won the popular vote in 2004.

On November 4, 2012, the Redskins lost against the Carolina Panthers. It was the last home game for the Redskins before the 2012 Presidential Election, which will take place on November 6. If the Redskins Rule holds true in the upcoming election, it predicts a loss for incumbent Barack Obama against challenger Mitt Romney.

The record speaks for itself:

YearPresidential Election
Result
Redskins
(Score)
Opponent
(Score)
Redskins
Win or Lose?
Incumbent Party
Win or Lose?
Rule
upheld?*
Popular
Vote Won
2012TBDRedskins 13Carolina Panthers 21loseTBDTBDTBD
2008Obama defeats McCainRedskins 6Pittsburgh Steelers 23loselosesyesObama
2004Bush defeats KerryRedskins 14Green Bay Packers 28losewinsyes*Bush
2000Bush defeats GoreRedskins 21Tennessee Titans 27loselosesyesGore
1996Clinton defeats DoleRedskins 31Indianapolis Colts 16winwinsyesClinton
1992Clinton defeats BushRedskins 7New York Giants 24loselosesyesClinton
1988Bush defeats DukakisRedskins 27New Orleans Saints 24winwinsyesBush
1984Reagan defeats MondaleRedskins 27Atlanta Falcons 14winwinsyesReagan
1980Reagan defeats CarterRedskins 14Minnesota Vikings 39loselosesyesReagan
1976Carter defeats FordRedskins 7Dallas Cowboys 20loselosesyesCarter
1972Nixon defeats McGovernRedskins 24Dallas Cowboys 20winwinsyesNixon
1968Nixon defeats HumphreyRedskins 10New York Giants 13loselosesyesNixon
1964Johnson defeats GoldwaterRedskins 27Chicago Bears 20winwinsyesJohnson
1960Kennedy defeats NixonRedskins 10Cleveland Browns 31loselosesyesKennedy
1956Eisenhower defeats StevensonRedskins 20Cleveland Browns 9winwinsyesEisenhower
1952Eisenhower defeats StevensonRedskins 23Pittsburgh Steelers 24loselosesyesEisenhower
1948Truman defeats DeweyRedskins 59Boston Yanks 21winwinsyesTruman
1944Roosevelt defeats DeweyRedskins 14Cleveland Rams 10winwinsyesRoosevelt
1940Roosevelt defeats WillkieRedskins 37Pittsburgh Steelers 10winwinsyesRoosevelt

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